Friday, November 19, 2004

The third alternative

Maybe it won't be an invasion or internal coup. Bill at INDC Journal:
Barring some dramatic shift in Iran's behavior, I'd anticipate an Israeli airstrike that employs US purchased bunker busting munitions before any mullah bomb comes to fruition. The practical factors working against such drastic action in the near future are the threat of regional war and international pressure for reengagement in the peace process under a new Palestinian leadership, but something tells me that the Israelis will choose a non-nuclear Iran. Timing, secrecy and defense are the real questions: Are US and Israeli intelligence services aware of the location of all or most critical Iranian activity devoted to developing a nuclear weapon? Are they aware of the practical deadline for launching a strike before weapons are completed and hidden in decentralized locations? Can they adequately defend against an Iranian missile retaliation?

Of course, Iran will stop at nothing to get a nuke. Colin Powell said today that all the intelligence he has seen indicates that Iran is working on a missile capable of delivering a nuclear warhead, and an Iranian opposition group said that Iran is enriching uranium at a secret military facility.

So let's just let Israel take out the plants like they took out Osirak in Iraq, thus saving Western civilization, and, subsequently, Doublemint gum, one of the many beautiful products of Western civilization of which I am especially fond.

And in other Iranian news, a 14 year-old boy was publicly lashed to death last Thursday for breaking his Ramadan fast. I'll just file that one as "Reason #785 for Regime Change."

Well, I certainly don't want to end this post on such a depressing note.




Blogger acct4this said...

Great post on a very timely subject. You show wonderful insight. I wish we showed a greater respect for the Lord in the US, but I don't want religious police here, either. An internal revolt in Iran seems likely at some point, once a democratic beachhead is established in Iraq.

Warren (cannons4ever)

3:11 PM  

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